Tag: ECB
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Weekly EUR/USD Outlook June 1, 2026: Stocks at Record Highs as Markets Hope for a Truce
The Fed’s new leadership is being forced to manage a renewed flare-up in inflation, which came in at 3.8% in April, a level that will prevent the central bank from easing the cost of money. The ECB also looks ready to move on rates as early as this month. EUR/USD, meanwhile, remains stuck in a…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook, May 25, 2026: The U.S. Economy Is Running Hot, and So Are Rates
The Warsh era at the Fed begins with strong macroeconomic data from the U.S., but also with rising inflation and Powell’s final minutes confirming a central bank more hawkish than expected. Bets on rate cuts have been wiped out, while in Europe consumer prices are also climbing by 3%, prompting the ECB to prepare for…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook – May 18, 2026: Inflation, Trump’s New Enemy
Stalemate persists in the war with Iran, while the meeting between Trump and Xi does not appear, at least for now, to have unlocked a situation that continues to keep oil flows and prices in the Gulf under pressure, with obvious consequences for global consumer prices. U.S. inflation is rising sharply again, and that will…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook, May 11, 2026 – War Stalemate, EUR/USD Stalemate
Between hopes for a truce and buoyant markets, the dollar remains weak, confirming that when calmer conditions appear to return to markets, the greenback loses ground. Meanwhile, the Warsh era begins in the U.S., with the new Fed chair taking office. Will he be able to preserve the Fed’s independence? In Europe, interest rates appear…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook, May 4, 2026: The Fed Navigates Uncertainty
While the Strait of Hormuz remains sealed, sending oil prices sharply higher, the change at the top of the Federal Reserve, with Powell chairing his final meeting, left rates unchanged but appears to ensure a degree of independence for the board at least until 2028, given Powell’s continued presence as a voting member. That factor…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook – April 20, 2026: Risk Sentiment Improves, Euro Pushes Higher
The ceasefire with Iran appears to be holding, opening the door to a new round of negotiations that could bring greater stability to shipping flows through the Strait of Hormuz following the naval blockade imposed by the United States. Despite ongoing tensions and intermittent disruptions in the strait markets have pushed back toward their highs,…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook for March 16, 2026: Rates Higher, Dollar Gains Ground
The war in Iran continues to dominate the agenda, with oil prices hovering near $100 a barrel even as Trump insists the conflict is almost over. Markets remain cautious, while interest rates are moving higher on expectations that inflation will start picking up again. Gasoline prices in the U.S. are also surging, with predictable implications…
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EurUsd Weekly Outlook, March 2, 2026: War Returns
The week was dominated by turmoil over U.S. tariffs after the Supreme Court ruled that President Trump did not have the authority to impose duties on incoming goods. At the same time, the winds of war have returned to the Middle East, as tensions between Israel and Iran flare once more. The conflict is spreading…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook – February 23, 2026: Tariffs, Back to Square One
Few developments emerged from the United States this week, aside from Friday’s headline ruling in which the Supreme Court struck down President Trump’s tariffs. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve reaffirmed its intention to maintain a cautious monetary stance despite the ongoing cooling in inflation. Inflation is also easing in Europe, where speculation is mounting over a…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook – February 16, 2026: Dollar Under Pressure, but Holding
The United States is in economic recovery, but job creation remains modest and heavily concentrated in a handful of sectors. That was the takeaway from the latest employment report, which nonetheless confirmed a decline in the unemployment rate. Inflation continues to ease. For EUR/USD, the latest attempt to break through the 1.19 resistance level appears…
