Tag: ECB
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook, May 4, 2026: The Fed Navigates Uncertainty
While the Strait of Hormuz remains sealed, sending oil prices sharply higher, the change at the top of the Federal Reserve, with Powell chairing his final meeting, left rates unchanged but appears to ensure a degree of independence for the board at least until 2028, given Powell’s continued presence as a voting member. That factor…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook – April 20, 2026: Risk Sentiment Improves, Euro Pushes Higher
The ceasefire with Iran appears to be holding, opening the door to a new round of negotiations that could bring greater stability to shipping flows through the Strait of Hormuz following the naval blockade imposed by the United States. Despite ongoing tensions and intermittent disruptions in the strait markets have pushed back toward their highs,…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook for March 16, 2026: Rates Higher, Dollar Gains Ground
The war in Iran continues to dominate the agenda, with oil prices hovering near $100 a barrel even as Trump insists the conflict is almost over. Markets remain cautious, while interest rates are moving higher on expectations that inflation will start picking up again. Gasoline prices in the U.S. are also surging, with predictable implications…
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EurUsd Weekly Outlook, March 2, 2026: War Returns
The week was dominated by turmoil over U.S. tariffs after the Supreme Court ruled that President Trump did not have the authority to impose duties on incoming goods. At the same time, the winds of war have returned to the Middle East, as tensions between Israel and Iran flare once more. The conflict is spreading…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook – February 23, 2026: Tariffs, Back to Square One
Few developments emerged from the United States this week, aside from Friday’s headline ruling in which the Supreme Court struck down President Trump’s tariffs. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve reaffirmed its intention to maintain a cautious monetary stance despite the ongoing cooling in inflation. Inflation is also easing in Europe, where speculation is mounting over a…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook – February 16, 2026: Dollar Under Pressure, but Holding
The United States is in economic recovery, but job creation remains modest and heavily concentrated in a handful of sectors. That was the takeaway from the latest employment report, which nonetheless confirmed a decline in the unemployment rate. Inflation continues to ease. For EUR/USD, the latest attempt to break through the 1.19 resistance level appears…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook, February 9, 2026: The Euro Struggles to Break Through
The United States continues to deliver very solid growth figures despite tariff policies and ongoing geopolitical uncertainty. Europe is also holding up well in this environment, with the ECB opting to keep interest rates unchanged at 2%. After its strong rally, EUR/USD has so far failed to break through the key resistance at 1.19, reinforcing…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook, January 26 2026: Much Ado About Nothing
Trump attempted to recreate a “Liberation Day” moment for Europe, but failed in the face of a compact front, together with Canada, that ultimately forced him to abandon his expansionist ambitions in Greenland. Meanwhile, the search continues for a Federal Reserve candidate to replace Jerome Powell. The dollar is bearing the brunt of this uncertainty,…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook – January 19, 2026: Global Disorder
Geopolitical tensions remain elevated. After Venezuela, Iran’s regime now appears to be the next target of the Trump administration, as popular uprisings are driving tensions higher across the Middle East. These developments are compounded by renewed frictions with Europe linked to Greenland. Meanwhile, U.S. inflation data confirm that consumer prices continue to follow a downward…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook, January 12, 2026: Geopolitics Take Center Stage as the Euro Stalls
Trump continues to dominate media attention following the removal of Venezuela’s president. Rhetoric is intensifying not only in Washington’s confrontations with China and Russia, but also with Europe, given Trump’s renewed interest in Greenland. South America, meanwhile, is increasingly portrayed as a new frontier for U.S. influence. Data on both sides of the Atlantic confirm…