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  • Weekly EUR/USD Outlook – June 9, 2025: Dollar Weakens as ECB Cuts Rates and Trump Tensions Mount

    Weekly EUR/USD Outlook – June 9, 2025: Dollar Weakens as ECB Cuts Rates and Trump Tensions Mount

    The ECB followed through on expectations, cutting rates while taking comfort in inflation that shows no signs of reigniting. In the U.S., the latest employment data confirmed the underlying strength of the American economy, though wage pressures are once again creeping higher. The EUR/USD remains firmly supported, hovering near key resistance levels that could prove…

    June 9, 2025
  • EUR/USD Weekly Outlook, June 2, 2025 – Tariff Turmoil, Euro Optimism, and a Stalled Breakout

    EUR/USD Weekly Outlook, June 2, 2025 – Tariff Turmoil, Euro Optimism, and a Stalled Breakout

    A surprise court ruling declaring Trump-era tariffs illegal has thrown a wrench into U.S. trade policy. The decision, which briefly cast doubt over the administration’s legal footing, was quickly overturned on appeal. Markets and the dollar wavered amid the uncertainty—but Trump seized the moment to escalate further, announcing a doubling of tariffs on steel and…

    June 3, 2025
  • Weekly EUR/USD Outlook, May 26, 2025: Rising Yields and Market Reactions Amid U.S. Debt Downgrade

    Weekly EUR/USD Outlook, May 26, 2025: Rising Yields and Market Reactions Amid U.S. Debt Downgrade

    The U.S. credit rating downgrade continues to have negative effects on the bond market, with long-term yields globally starting to rise again. U.S. debt is worrying the bond market, as well as the dollar, which struggles to break through key support levels against the euro. Meanwhile, Trump threatens Europe with 50% tariffs.

    May 26, 2025
  • Weekly EUR/USD Outlook, May 12, 2025: U.S.Fed Patience, Trade Talks, and Eurozone Hopes

    Weekly EUR/USD Outlook, May 12, 2025: U.S.Fed Patience, Trade Talks, and Eurozone Hopes

    The Fed holds rates steady, with Chair Powell emphasizing the central bank’s independence and a patient stance, as current economic conditions do not warrant immediate action. Meanwhile, the Trump administration continues its tariff negotiations, sealing an initial deal with the UK and signaling a compromise with China. In Europe, Friedrich Merz has taken office as…

    May 12, 2025
  • EUR/USD Weekly Outlook, May 5, 2025: Recession Hits U.S. as Euro Finds Breathing Room

    EUR/USD Weekly Outlook, May 5, 2025: Recession Hits U.S. as Euro Finds Breathing Room

    The U.S. economy slipped into reverse in the first quarter of 2025, with inflation ticking higher. That was the key message from the latest GDP release, as a surge in imports weighed heavily on growth. In Europe, inflation remains subdued, giving the euro a chance to regroup after its sharp rally in recent weeks amid…

    May 5, 2025
  • Weekly EUR/USD Outlook, April 28, 2025: Trump’s Shift Eases Volatility, Dollar Remains Under Pressure

    Weekly EUR/USD Outlook, April 28, 2025: Trump’s Shift Eases Volatility, Dollar Remains Under Pressure

    Trump seems to have recognized that pulling too hard risks breaking the rope — with equity, bond, and currency markets serving as clear indicators of mounting uncertainty. His partial retreat on China and Fed policy has given markets some breathing room, though the dollar remains under persistent pressure.

    April 28, 2025
  • EUR/USD Weekly Outlook April 21, 2025: Trump Clashes with Powell as Dollar Tests Critical Lows

    EUR/USD Weekly Outlook April 21, 2025: Trump Clashes with Powell as Dollar Tests Critical Lows

    Powell Holds the Line as Trump Turns Up the Heat and Trade Tensions Escalate The Fed isn’t coming to Trump’s rescue—quite the opposite. Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comments last week revealed a growing rift between the central bank and the White House. Powell reiterated that monetary policy decisions will remain independent of political pressure. He…

    April 21, 2025
  • EurUsd Weekly Outlook, April 14, 2025 – Trade War Tensions and Technical Breakthroughs

    EurUsd Weekly Outlook, April 14, 2025 – Trade War Tensions and Technical Breakthroughs

    Donald Trump continues to inject volatility into a market gripped by hysteria, which currently finds little support in the trade war. The United States has intensified tariffs on China, while suspending them for 90 days for all other countries. In response, China has raised tariffs on American goods to 125%. Both the yuan and the…

    April 14, 2025
  • EUR/USD Weekly Outlook, April 7, 2025: Trade War Triggers Volatility and Shifts Market Dynamics

    EUR/USD Weekly Outlook, April 7, 2025: Trade War Triggers Volatility and Shifts Market Dynamics

    Trump’s Tariffs Spark Global Trade War and Economic Uncertainty The day of reckoning has arrived. Or rather, the day of liberation. But also, the day of surrender, judging by the markets’ reaction. As promised during his campaign, Trump shook the world with his decision to impose tariffs on imports from numerous countries, starting with a…

    April 7, 2025
  • EUR/USD Weekly Outlook – March 31, 2025: Trump’s Tariffs and the Euro’s Test of Key Resistance

    EUR/USD Weekly Outlook – March 31, 2025: Trump’s Tariffs and the Euro’s Test of Key Resistance

    The day of liberation has finally arrived, and on April 2, Donald Trump will announce his vision for global trade, imposing tariffs on countries with trade surpluses with the United States. Central banks are currently standing by, awaiting news. EUR/USD is consolidating its positions after testing key resistance levels of 1.09/1.10.

    March 31, 2025
  • Weekly EUR/USD Outlook for March 3, 2025 –Navigating Stagflation and Shifting Market Dynamics

    Weekly EUR/USD Outlook for March 3, 2025 –Navigating Stagflation and Shifting Market Dynamics

    The Fed keeps interest rates unchanged but warns the markets that the economy will slow down, with inflation struggling to fall from current levels. There may be (perhaps) two more rate cuts in 2025, with Trump urging immediate action. Meanwhile, in Europe, new defense investment plans and the expansion of Germany’s budget bring optimism to…

    March 24, 2025
  • Weekly EUR/USD Outlook for March 3, 2025 – Trump’s Tariffs and Geopolitical Tensions Weigh on the Euro

    Weekly EUR/USD Outlook for March 3, 2025 – Trump’s Tariffs and Geopolitical Tensions Weigh on the Euro

    Tensions between Trump and Europe remain high, with peace in Ukraine once again distant after the violent live TV confrontation with Zelensky and a trade war that seems poised for a new chapter. The euro and European stock markets remain resilient, but the yield curve in the United States is flattening, signaling expectations of an…

    March 3, 2025
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