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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook, April 7, 2025: Trade War Triggers Volatility and Shifts Market Dynamics
Trump’s Tariffs Spark Global Trade War and Economic Uncertainty The day of reckoning has arrived. Or rather, the day of liberation. But also, the day of surrender, judging by the markets’ reaction. As promised during his campaign, Trump shook the world with his decision to impose tariffs on imports from numerous countries, starting with a…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook – March 31, 2025: Trump’s Tariffs and the Euro’s Test of Key Resistance
The day of liberation has finally arrived, and on April 2, Donald Trump will announce his vision for global trade, imposing tariffs on countries with trade surpluses with the United States. Central banks are currently standing by, awaiting news. EUR/USD is consolidating its positions after testing key resistance levels of 1.09/1.10.
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Weekly EUR/USD Outlook for March 3, 2025 –Navigating Stagflation and Shifting Market Dynamics
The Fed keeps interest rates unchanged but warns the markets that the economy will slow down, with inflation struggling to fall from current levels. There may be (perhaps) two more rate cuts in 2025, with Trump urging immediate action. Meanwhile, in Europe, new defense investment plans and the expansion of Germany’s budget bring optimism to…
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Weekly EUR/USD Outlook for March 3, 2025 – Trump’s Tariffs and Geopolitical Tensions Weigh on the Euro
Tensions between Trump and Europe remain high, with peace in Ukraine once again distant after the violent live TV confrontation with Zelensky and a trade war that seems poised for a new chapter. The euro and European stock markets remain resilient, but the yield curve in the United States is flattening, signaling expectations of an…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook, February 24, 2025 – Geopolitical Shifts and Market Stalemate
The situation in Europe, and especially in Ukraine, is rapidly deteriorating following Donald Trump’s shocking about-face on Ukraine. The tycoon’s decision to seek an agreement by initially involving only Russia and asking Ukrainian Prime Minister Zelensky to take a step back marks the rupture of the alliance supporting the invaded country. The geopolitical crisis risks…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook for February 17, 2025 – Inflation, Central Bank Policies, and Key Resistance Levels
Donald Trump continues to dominate the geopolitical stage with a strong attempt to bring Ukraine and Russia to the peace table. Paradoxically, Europe and the euro stand to benefit financially, with the German elections serving as the market mover of the month. Meanwhile, in the U.S., inflation rises to 3%, extinguishing any hopes of a…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook, February 10, 2025 – Trump’s Tariff Maneuvers and Europe’s Economic Response
Trump follows through on his promise by imposing a 25% tariff on Mexico and Canada, only to suspend it a few hours later to allow for negotiations and reach an acceptable solution. The markets were rattled but managed to recover the losses in subsequent sessions. EUR/USD once again confirms the strength of the 1.02 support…
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Weekly EUR/USD Outlook for February 3, 2025 – Fed Holds Steady, ECB Cuts Rates Amid Economic Uncertainty
As the clash between the Fed and Trump intensifies, Governor Powell stays the course, communicating to the markets that now is not the time to cut interest rates. Inflation and economic conditions do not support such a move, with the uncertainty of tariffs looming, becoming reality starting in February. Exactly the same reasons, but in…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook for January 27, 2025 – Trump’s Tariff Threats & Inflation Concerns
Trump is the new President of the United States and immediately announces a series of measures that will fuel US growth, inflation, and also create tensions with trade partners like Canada, Mexico, and Europe. The euro reacted well to the test of the 1.02 support level following Lagarde’s less dovish remarks. Pullback or something else?
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook – January 20, 2025: Parity in Sight as Dollar Strengthens Amid Global Economic Shifts
Trump is officially the new president of the United States, and now the market awaits clarity on the much-discussed protectionist measures. The forex market remains volatile, with the euro struggling to recover after better-than-expected U.S. inflation data. Meanwhile, in Germany, it is now certain that 2024 will be marked by another economic recession.
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Weekly EurUsd Outlook, January 13, 2025 – Trump’s Return and Dollar Strength Amid Euro Weakness
Trump now dominates the global political and economic stage on a daily basis. With his official inauguration imminent, we are about to grapple with real policy decisions. The American economy continues on its growth path, while Europe struggles. Inflationary pressures loom on the horizon, with tariffs potentially increasing price pressures. The dollar is benefiting from…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook, January 6, 2025 – Gas Crisis and Interest Rates Impacting the Euro
The gas war reignites tensions over energy prices in Europe and also puts pressure on the euro, whose performance is hindered by political concerns in key countries like France and Germany, as well as macroeconomic data that continues to offer little reassurance regarding recovery. Meanwhile, expectations grow for Trump’s inauguration at the White House.
