Tag: Trump
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook, June 15 2026: The ECB Raises Rates, but Peace May Be Near
The war between Iran and the United States may be approaching its final act, with a first “digital” signature. Meanwhile, in Europe as well as in America, consumer prices are biting into household budgets. Trump risks heading into the midterm elections with elevated inflation and persistent geopolitical tensions. The ECB, meanwhile, raised rates as expected,…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook – May 18, 2026: Inflation, Trump’s New Enemy
Stalemate persists in the war with Iran, while the meeting between Trump and Xi does not appear, at least for now, to have unlocked a situation that continues to keep oil flows and prices in the Gulf under pressure, with obvious consequences for global consumer prices. U.S. inflation is rising sharply again, and that will…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook for April 13, 2026: Everyone Wants Peace, No One Wants Peace
War tensions are temporarily easing, although efforts to reach an agreement between the United States and Iran in Pakistan have so far failed. Trump is threatening a naval blockade, while the Strait of Hormuz remains intermittently disrupted. After an initial post-truce drop below $100 per barrel, oil prices are rising again. Concerns over inflation and…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook for March 16, 2026: Rates Higher, Dollar Gains Ground
The war in Iran continues to dominate the agenda, with oil prices hovering near $100 a barrel even as Trump insists the conflict is almost over. Markets remain cautious, while interest rates are moving higher on expectations that inflation will start picking up again. Gasoline prices in the U.S. are also surging, with predictable implications…
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EurUsd Weekly Outlook, March 2, 2026: War Returns
The week was dominated by turmoil over U.S. tariffs after the Supreme Court ruled that President Trump did not have the authority to impose duties on incoming goods. At the same time, the winds of war have returned to the Middle East, as tensions between Israel and Iran flare once more. The conflict is spreading…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook – February 23, 2026: Tariffs, Back to Square One
Few developments emerged from the United States this week, aside from Friday’s headline ruling in which the Supreme Court struck down President Trump’s tariffs. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve reaffirmed its intention to maintain a cautious monetary stance despite the ongoing cooling in inflation. Inflation is also easing in Europe, where speculation is mounting over a…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook, January 26 2026: Much Ado About Nothing
Trump attempted to recreate a “Liberation Day” moment for Europe, but failed in the face of a compact front, together with Canada, that ultimately forced him to abandon his expansionist ambitions in Greenland. Meanwhile, the search continues for a Federal Reserve candidate to replace Jerome Powell. The dollar is bearing the brunt of this uncertainty,…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook – January 19, 2026: Global Disorder
Geopolitical tensions remain elevated. After Venezuela, Iran’s regime now appears to be the next target of the Trump administration, as popular uprisings are driving tensions higher across the Middle East. These developments are compounded by renewed frictions with Europe linked to Greenland. Meanwhile, U.S. inflation data confirm that consumer prices continue to follow a downward…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook, January 12, 2026: Geopolitics Take Center Stage as the Euro Stalls
Trump continues to dominate media attention following the removal of Venezuela’s president. Rhetoric is intensifying not only in Washington’s confrontations with China and Russia, but also with Europe, given Trump’s renewed interest in Greenland. South America, meanwhile, is increasingly portrayed as a new frontier for U.S. influence. Data on both sides of the Atlantic confirm…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook, December 22: The World According to Trump
The U.S. economy failed to generate jobs in the past quarter, a consequence of the government shutdown and, likely, of consumers becoming more cautious as inflation struggles to ease. Trump has sought to reassure the country by placing confidence in the future Federal Reserve chair, who is expected to lower interest rates. The dollar, meanwhile,…