Tag: Trump
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook – January 19, 2026: Global Disorder
Geopolitical tensions remain elevated. After Venezuela, Iran’s regime now appears to be the next target of the Trump administration, as popular uprisings are driving tensions higher across the Middle East. These developments are compounded by renewed frictions with Europe linked to Greenland. Meanwhile, U.S. inflation data confirm that consumer prices continue to follow a downward…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook, January 12, 2026: Geopolitics Take Center Stage as the Euro Stalls
Trump continues to dominate media attention following the removal of Venezuela’s president. Rhetoric is intensifying not only in Washington’s confrontations with China and Russia, but also with Europe, given Trump’s renewed interest in Greenland. South America, meanwhile, is increasingly portrayed as a new frontier for U.S. influence. Data on both sides of the Atlantic confirm…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook, December 22: The World According to Trump
The U.S. economy failed to generate jobs in the past quarter, a consequence of the government shutdown and, likely, of consumers becoming more cautious as inflation struggles to ease. Trump has sought to reassure the country by placing confidence in the future Federal Reserve chair, who is expected to lower interest rates. The dollar, meanwhile,…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook, December 15: Geopolitics Back in the Driver’s Seat
The Federal Reserve cut rates by 25 basis points as expected, bringing them into the 3.5%–3.75% range, while striking a cautious tone on its next moves. At the same time, tensions are rising between President Trump and European leaders over Ukraine, with the tycoon increasingly aligned with Russian positions and eager to seal a deal…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook, November 10 2025: The Dollar Benefits from Uncertainty
The longest shutdown in U.S. history has unfolded amid uncertainty surrounding the Supreme Court’s pending ruling on tariffs and an unexpectedly hawkish turn in U.S. interest rate expectations following comments from Fed Chair Powell. As a result, the dollar regained ground, pushing EUR/USD back below 1.15. With key macro data and futures market positioning still…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook – November 3, 2025: Rates Fall as China Moves Closer
Trump’s Asian Tour Brings Renewed Momentum Donald Trump’s Asian tour underscores the growing importance of Pacific alliances, strengthening ties with Japan and South Korea—two nations that had clashed with Washington over tariffs in recent months. The trip also highlights Trump’s intent to reach an agreement with China, marked by his meeting with President Xi and…
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Weekly EUR/USD Outlook, September 1, 2025: Fed Pressure and France’s Political Turmoil Shape the Trend
Trump Pressures the Fed as France’s Crisis Lifts Dollar After Powell’s dovish signals at Jackson Hole, the White House stepped up its confrontation with the Fed, demanding Governor Cook’s removal on allegations of fraud. Whether or not the accusations hold, Donald Trump’s not-so-subtle effort to steer monetary policy toward a looser stance is becoming increasingly…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook, August 14, 2025: Tariffs and a Weak Dollar, the Story Continues
Trump is keeping tariff tensions high, with India becoming the latest target of a renewed 50% hike following Brazil. Europe, for now, appears to be out of the immediate line of fire, though the threat of further escalation—should trade agreements not be honored—remains, with pharmaceutical products still under the constant shadow of potential tariffs. After…
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Weekly EUR/USD Outlook, August 4, 2025 – Euro Pulls Back as Tariffs Rise and Fed Holds Rates
The trade war enters a new phase with agreements reached with the EU and Japan, but fresh tensions flare toward Canada, India, Brazil, and Switzerland. The tycoon seized on the disappointing jobs report to pressure Powell into delivering a rate cut. After testing key support levels, EUR/USD is once again moving higher.
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Weekly EUR/USD Outlook, July 28, 2025 – Dollar Under Pressure as Tariff Deals Advance and ECB Holds the Line
Tariff Deals Take Shape as Trump Targets Powell and ECB Signals Pause Recent developments on the tariff front suggest the White House is serious about securing definitive trade deals before summer’s end. Japan has now agreed to Washington’s demands for a more balanced trade relationship, accepting a 15% tariff on exports to the U.S. and…
