Tag: ECB
-
EUR/USD Weekly Outlook – November 24, 2025: Black Friday Gives the Dollar a Boost
It was a positive week for the dollar, which regained ground as macroeconomic data slowly returned following the shutdown freeze. The labor-market figures were the most anticipated among the releases, arriving just as the race to replace Powell officially begins. Five candidates are now expected to be in contention for the role of the next…
-
EUR/USD Weekly Outlook – November 17, 2025: Shutdown Ends, but at What Cost?
The longest shutdown in U.S. history has come to an end after Congress approved a temporary plan to lift the debt ceiling through January, leaving behind an inevitable economic slowdown that has done little to unsettle equity or currency markets. The situation adds uncertainty to how the Federal Reserve will act before year-end. EUR/USD has…
-
EUR/USD Weekly Outlook, November 10 2025: The Dollar Benefits from Uncertainty
The longest shutdown in U.S. history has unfolded amid uncertainty surrounding the Supreme Court’s pending ruling on tariffs and an unexpectedly hawkish turn in U.S. interest rate expectations following comments from Fed Chair Powell. As a result, the dollar regained ground, pushing EUR/USD back below 1.15. With key macro data and futures market positioning still…
-
EUR/USD Weekly Outlook – November 3, 2025: Rates Fall as China Moves Closer
Trump’s Asian Tour Brings Renewed Momentum Donald Trump’s Asian tour underscores the growing importance of Pacific alliances, strengthening ties with Japan and South Korea—two nations that had clashed with Washington over tariffs in recent months. The trip also highlights Trump’s intent to reach an agreement with China, marked by his meeting with President Xi and…
-
Weekly EUR/USD Outlook, September 8, 2025: Powell to Cut Rates
U.S. Jobs Market Hits a Wall The week’s pivotal release came from the U.S. labor market—and it disappointed. Just over 20,000 new jobs were created, while the unemployment rate climbed to its highest since late 2021. The White House, eager for evidence of a slowdown driven by high rates, found just that. With tariffs largely…
-
EUR/USD Weekly Outlook, August 14, 2025: Tariffs and a Weak Dollar, the Story Continues
Trump is keeping tariff tensions high, with India becoming the latest target of a renewed 50% hike following Brazil. Europe, for now, appears to be out of the immediate line of fire, though the threat of further escalation—should trade agreements not be honored—remains, with pharmaceutical products still under the constant shadow of potential tariffs. After…
-
Weekly EUR/USD Outlook, August 4, 2025 – Euro Pulls Back as Tariffs Rise and Fed Holds Rates
The trade war enters a new phase with agreements reached with the EU and Japan, but fresh tensions flare toward Canada, India, Brazil, and Switzerland. The tycoon seized on the disappointing jobs report to pressure Powell into delivering a rate cut. After testing key support levels, EUR/USD is once again moving higher.
-
Weekly EUR/USD Outlook, July 28, 2025 – Dollar Under Pressure as Tariff Deals Advance and ECB Holds the Line
Tariff Deals Take Shape as Trump Targets Powell and ECB Signals Pause Recent developments on the tariff front suggest the White House is serious about securing definitive trade deals before summer’s end. Japan has now agreed to Washington’s demands for a more balanced trade relationship, accepting a 15% tariff on exports to the U.S. and…
-
Weekly EUR/USD Outlook, July 14, 2025: Trade Tensions Resurface as 1.20 Comes into View
The trade war returns to center stage. With the suspension window now closed, the White House has begun sending letters to every country that failed to agree to its proposed trade deals. Nations like Brazil now face tariffs of 50%, Japan 25%, and Canada 35%. In response, the Fed is taking a cautious stance on…
-
Weekly EUR/USD Outlook, July 7 2025: Trump-Powell Rift Deepens as Euro Targets 1.20
The trade war may be dormant, but it’s far from over—and in the meantime, a war of words is heating up in the U.S. between Trump and Powell. The latter, aware of the need to ease borrowing costs for the American economy, stated that interest rates would already be lower if tariffs weren’t in place.…